State-to-State Migration Trends in 2022

January 8, 2024

By: Anat Nusinovich

According to newly released data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the number of people who moved between states rose from approximately 7.9 million in 2021 to approximately 8.2 million in 2022. Evidence on domestic moves (moves that occur within the United States and don’t include moves from abroad) allows us to identify popular markets and why people choose to move there.

Key Findings

• 32 out of the 50 states had inbound moving rates higher than 50% in 2022.
• Affordability issues and the ability to work remotely drove Americans to move to neighboring or cheaper states. Florida and Texas were leading with the highest migration gains that year.
• Domestic net migrations were mainly affected by population size, affordability, employment opportunities, and building permits.
• Most Americans chose to move to a state where they could afford to purchase a home, even if that meant fewer employment opportunities.

Inbound and Outbound Rates

Thirty-two out of the 50 states had an inbound moving rate higher than 50% in 2022. Inbound moving rate is defined as the number of people moving into a state as a share of the state’s total number of movers. Connecticut (62.09%) had the highest inbound moving rate, with most people moving from neighboring states, such as New York, Massachusetts, and New Jersey. The data shows a different case for large states by population, like Florida (60.13%), where the largest share of people moved from New York, California, and New Jersey.

Nine out of the 50 states (including the District of Columbia) had an outbound rate higher than 50%. Outbound rate is defined as the number of people moving out of a state as a share of the state’s total number of movers. At the top of the list are large states like New York (64.41%), California (63.22%), New Jersey (60.41%), and Illinois (60.11%), all of which had outbound rates higher than 60%. New Yorkers moved to warmer states like Florida or more affordable states where they can still commute to work, like New Jersey. In contrast, Californians moved to the states where the tech industry has been booming since the pandemic, like Texas and Arizona. People from New Jersey and Illinois moved to either Florida or their neighboring states.

Net Migration

Net migration is defined as the difference between inbound and outbound moves in each state. Florida (249,064) and Texas (174,261) were also leading in positive net migration, while California (-341,866), New York (-244,137), Illinois (-115,719), and New Jersey (-92,083) had significantly negative net migration in 2022.

It’s clear that migration trends in the United States have been influenced by factors such as affordability, remote work opportunities, and population size. These trends provide valuable insights for policymakers and businesses looking to understand and adapt to the changing demographic landscape of the country.